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Sag's doch einfach mal ohne Geschwurbel.
zu den besseren Dingen des Fortschritts zähle ich ambivalent das Internet,aber ganz sicher nicht das Smartphone
und ohne kommunistisch sein zu wollen:ich halte den Kapitalismus ,wie er jetzt praktiziert wird für in höchstem Grade unmoralisch und schäme mich fast,wenn meine Nordex an einem Tag 12 % steigen wegen eines Gerüchts.
Ich frage mich ernsthaft,welche Partei man noch wählen kann
from Reuters
With the whiff of global economic recovery in the air as major central banks floor cash rates, buy bonds and neutralize systemic stability fears, mutual fund and retail investment flows are already on the move in 2013.
According to Lipper, net flows to U.S.-based equity funds in the first two weeks of 2013 was, at $11.3 billion, the biggest fortnightly inflow since April 2000. Including exchange traded equity funds (ETFs), the number tops $18 billion - well over twice the flow to equivalent bond funds.
What's more, fund-tracker EPFR said some $7 billion of inflows to emerging market equities alone in the first week of the year were the biggest on record and these have outstripped demand for emerging bond funds five weeks running.
The BoA Merrill Lynch fund manager survey shows fund manager bullishness at an extreme level:
Investors' appetite for risk in their portfolios is now at its highest in nine years, while an increasing number judge equities as undervalued - particularly in Europe. Moreover, investors have reduced cash holdings to 3.8 percent from 4.2 percent in December. This marks the most positive reading of this measure of willingness to hold riskier investment assets since April 2011, though it has not reached levels that would represent a contrarian sell signal.
CNBC reports that bears are in the capitulation process:
A powerful rally in which virtually all fears have been bypassed has pushed stock market detractors to the brink, ready to wave the proverbial white flag as the only direction for the market seems to be up, up, up.
79.6% of S&P 500 Stocks Overbought http://www.bespokeinvest.com/thinkbig/2013/1/22/...ks-overbought.html
http://www.tullettprebon.com/Documents/...I_009_Perfect_Storm_009.pdf
part one: the end of an era 5
the four factors which are bringing down the curtain on growth
The economy as we know it is facing a lethal confluence of four critical factors – the fall-out from the biggest debt bubble in history; a disastrous experiment with globalisation; the massaging of data to the point where economic trends are obscured; and, most important of all, the approach of an energy-returns cliff-edge.
part three: the globalisation disaster 29
globalisation and the western economic catastrophe
The Western developed nations are particularly exposed to the adverse trends explored in this report, because globalisation has created a lethal divergence between burgeoning consumption and eroding production, with out-of-control debt used to bridge this widening chasm.
auch zerohedge hat einen schönen Artikel von Tullett und Prebon zu den gefälschten Zahlen der Inflation und deren Auswirkungen
As Tullett Prebon's Tim Morgan notes, economic data has been subjected to incremental distortion; Data distortion can be divided into two categories. Economic data has been undermined by decades of methodological change which have distorted the statistics to the point where no really accurate data is available for the critical metrics of inflation, growth, output, unemployment or debt. Fiscal data, meanwhile, obscures the true scale of government obligations. While he does not believe that the debauching of US official data is the result of any grand conspiracy to mislead the American people; he does see it as an incremental process which has taken place over more than four decades. From 'owner equivalent rent" to 'hedonics', few series have been distorted more than published numbers for inflation, and few if any economic measures are of comparable importance; and the ramifications of understated inflation are huge.
Via Dr. Tim Morgan, Tullet Prebon, the high price of understated inflation
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-01-23/...ice-understated-inflation
aus dem obigen Link bei zerohedge heute:
The ramifications of understated inflation are huge. First, of course, and since pay deals often relate to reported CPI, wage rises for millions of Americans have been much smaller than they otherwise would have been. Small wonder, then, that millions of Americans feel much poorer than official figures tell them is the case. By the same token, those Americans in receipt of index-related pensions and benefits, too, have seen the real value of their incomes decline as a result of the severe (and cumulative) understatement of inflation.
This process, of course, has saved the government vast sums in benefit payments. Rebasing payments for the understatement of inflation since the early 1980s suggests that the Social Security system alone would have imploded many years ago had payments matched underlying rather than reported inflation. In other words, the use of ‘real’ inflation data would have overwhelmed the federal budget completely or, conversely, might have forced government to come clean on what levels of welfare spending really can be afforded.
Another implication of distorted inflation, an implication that may have played a hugely important role in the creation of America’s debt bubble, is that real interest rates may have been negative ever since the late 1990s (fig. 4.3). Taking 2003 as an example, average nominal bond rates12 of 4.0% equated to a real rate of 1.7% after the deduction of official CPI-U inflation (2.3%), but were almost certainly heavily negative in real terms if adjustment is made on the basis of underlying inflation instead.
We believe that distorted inflation data may, together with irresponsible interest rate policies and woefully lax regulation, have been a major contributor to the reckless wave of borrowing which so distorted the US economy in the decade prior to the financial crisis.
Ich hatte als Kind früher auch mehr Freiheiten, im Nachhinein find ich es auch gut wies war. Wenn man sieht wie heute schon im Kindergarten angefangen wird zu klassifizieren wird auch mir übel.
Umgekehrt wäre es wohl auch unaushaltbar die früheren Regeln auf heute anzuwenden. Bei der Befölkerungsdichte wäre es Chaotisch.
Das Leben ist wie auf Messers Schneide. Es braucht extrem wenig und man ist ganz unten, oder eben oben. Aber ein Stückweit kann jeder selbst dazu beitragen das sein Leben so läuft wie er es sich vorstellt.
Das Fluchen über Smartfones bringt aber nix.
meint Ambrose Evans -Pritchard im Telegraph und verweist auf einen Artikel des Bologna-Professors Paolo Manasse bei Voxeu
http://www.voxeu.org/article/eurozone-crisis-it-ain-t-over-yet
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/...endum-may-never-be-necessary/
..."No illusions that the storm is ending soon should be entertained. Indeed, we may well be in the eye of the hurricane. The longer-term prospects for the survival of the euro not only are not improving, they are actually getting worse," Manasse concludes.
Data released this morning shows that the Spanish economy contracted at an accelerating rate in the 4th quarter. There is no light at the end of the tunnel, and since unemployment lags GDP, the jobless rate will most likely rise beyond the current 26.6pc and stay at stratospheric levels for a long time.
There is not enough fresh investment to drive a sustained export boom. Consultants fDi Markets say foreign direct investment into Spain fell 12pc over the first nine months of 2012 compared to a year before.
The export surge that Madrid has been counting on has largely fizzled. Exports were up just 4pc in 2012.
Take a peak too at the Eurostat debt data released today.
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/cache/ITY_PUBLIC/...012013-AP-EN.PDF
What catches the eye is the incredible jump in debt to GDP ratios over the last twelve months alone in a string of countries — up 13pc in Ireland, 10.7pc in Spain, 9.9pc in Portugal, 9pc in Slovakia, and 7.4pc in Italy (to 127.3pc).
It shows how much damage is being done to debt trajectories by scorched-earth policies. Nominal GDP contraction is a killer.
Ich habe Erdbeeren,Johannisbeeren,Pflaumen,Äpfel,Sauerkirschen ,Blaubeeren und Walnüsse,wenn sie nicht geklaut werden....mein Hund wacht des nachts
Ohne das würde ich in der Metropole eingehen wie ein Primeltopf,und da draussen habe ich auch ein Ericsson-Telefon und einen Laptop.Nur Nachbarn können ein richtiges Problem sein,aber das sind sie woanders oft auch.
kein Verschwörungstheoretiker, ich will niemandem etwas nehmen außer einen fairen Anteil für den Staat damit dieser seine Aufgaben erfüllen kann.
Da der Staat nach meiner Auffassung bereits mehr als seinen fairen Anteil bekommt bin ich für Steuererleichterungen, Abschaffung von Subventionen, Ausgabenkürzung in den Verwaltungen etc...........
Nun ja, das könnte mittelfristig ein Problem werden in einer Industriegesellschaft.
Ich habe als Kind noch rauchende Schlote erlebt, und den damit verbundenen Dreck. Dann fing die Montanindustrie an, Stahlwerke in Asien aufzubauen, und die Luft hier wurde 'endlich' sauberer. Aber wenn man die story zu Ende denkt ... heute bin ich oft froh, wenn ich irgendwo noch 'offensichtlich' produzierendes Gewerbe sehe.
http://www.stratfor.com/weekly/...phisticated-algerian-hostage-crisis
Reprinting or republication of this report on websites is authorized by prominently displaying the following sentence, including the hyperlink to Stratfor, at the beginning or end of the report.
"The Unspectacular, Unsophisticated Algerian Hostage Crisis is republished with permission of Stratfor."
Shorts zu kaufen ist groß, ich werde die Finger davon lassen, ein Überschießen ist möglich, außerdem habe ich mich mit meinem ariva Traderdepot bereits in die Nesseln gesetzt.
Weiterhin ordentliche Daten aus den US:
- Thursday, January 24, 9:46 AM ETUS Jan. Flash PMI Manufacturing rises to 56.1 vs consensus of 54.0, 54.0 in Dec. Output 57.2 vs. 54.5 in Dec. New Orders 57.7 vs. 54.7 in Dec. Employment 55.6 vs. 54.5 in Dec. (PR)
griechische auch ... the youth unemployment in these nations is more than double the euro-area average.... MERKEL SAYS EU YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT BIGGEST BURDEN, NEEDS TACKLED
Yet, there is nothing being done. Across the 27-nation bloc, there are 5.8 million people aged under-25 that remain long-term unemployed. This has always and forever led to extreme events and social unrest, ...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-01-24/...-greek-youth-unemployment
Beim Renteneintritt sind die meisten Ersparnisse bereits verfrühstückt; dies gilt für knapp 30% aller Amerikaner....
http://www.wirtschaftsfacts.de/2013/01/...ane-zum-lebensunterhalt-an/
Bewusstseinswandel: Deutsche bleiben immer länger im Berufsleben
Deutsche arbeiten immer länger. Zu diesem Ergebnis kommt eine Analyse der Bundesagentur für Arbeit. Sie sieht in der steigenden Beschäftigungsquote Älterer einen Bewusstseinswandel - mit einem blinden Fleck.
BerlinIn Deutschland arbeiten nach einem Zeitungsbericht immer mehr ältere Menschen. Die sozialversicherungspflichtige Beschäftigung von Arbeitnehmern zwischen 60 und 64 Jahren habe 2012 mit knapp 1,44 Millionen den höchsten Stand seit Jahrzehnten erreicht, schreibt die „Frankfurter Rundschau“ unter Berufung auf eine Analyse der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (BA).