crowflight
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Crowflight Minerals (WKN 358036) ? die CASHMASCHINE startet!
Trotz Nickelpreisanstieg, baldiger Produktion und ausgezeichneten IRR bewegt sich unsere jüngste Musterdepotaufnahme Crowflight Minerals (WKN 358036) nur minimal. Was ist hier los?
Zuerst wollen wir uns einmal den Fakten zuwenden. Crowflight betreibt ein Nickelpojekt im Norden von Kanada. Laut bankfähiger Machbarkeitstudie erwirtschaftet das so genannte Bucko Nickel Projekt eine unglaubliche Rendite von 117 % pro Jahr und das bei einem Nickelpreis von 8 US$ pro Pfund. Bei 12 US$ pro Pfund liegt die jährliche Rendite schon bei unglaublichen 417 %! Aber jetzt kommt das Beste, der aktuelle Nickelpreis steht bei 18,55 US$, also noch deutlich über dem positiven Szenario von 12 US$. Damit sind die Investitionskosten innerhalb weniger Monate abbezahlt und das Projekt ist die reinste CASHMASCHINE für das Unternehmen. Somit würde beim aktuellen Nickelpreis das Unternehmen aus diesem Projekt einen jährlichen Cashflow von rund 175 Mio. CA$ lukrieren. Die gesamte Marktkapitalisierung beträgt aber nur 110 Mio. CA$. Das heißt, sie bekommen eine Company, die im ersten Jahr ihres vollen Betriebes bereits mehr Cash Flow erwirtschaftet, als die gesamte Firma jetzt kostet.
Das ist schlichtweg einfach nicht fair bewertet. Woran kann es also liegen, dass die Company so billig bewertet ist? Wollen wir ein paar Faktoren durchgehen.
Wann ist Produktionsstart?
Die erste Produktion ist bereits für das Q1/Q2 2008 geplant. Wie man an den Bildern sieht, wird an der Produktionsanlage bereits intensiv gearbeitet.
Wie schaut es mit der Finanzierung aus?
Die gesamten Investitionskosten für dieses Projekt liegen bei 64 Mio. CA$. Mit zwei Banken wurde eine Kreditlinie von rund 45 Mio. CA$ fixiert, über den Rest verfügt das Unternehmen bereits Cash durch die letzten Finanzierungen. Daher wird die Aktie kaum mehr von weiteren Finanzierungen verwässert (wir erwarten noch eine kleine Finanzierung in den nächsten Monaten).
Wie sieht es mit den Genehmigungen aus?
Hier kommen wir zu dem Schwachpunkt der ganzen Aktie. Und daher war die Pressemeldung vom letzten Freitag so wichtig. Denn natürlich wird der Bau der ganzen Anlage mit einer bestehenden Genehmigung durchgeführt, jedoch bestehen bei der Abraumlagerung noch Probleme. Das Unternehmen möchte dazu einen flachen, nahe gelegenen See nützen. Dazu wurde vor kurzem eine 30-tägige Begutachtungsfrist durchgeführt, die jetzt positiv abgeschlossen wurde. Daher hat Crowflight jetzt von der Provinz Manitoba die Bestätigung erhalten, dass eine Genehmigung für die Nickellagerstätte Bucko Lake bald erteilt werden soll. Jetzt muss dazu noch eine Bestätigung der kanadischen Regierung erfolgen. Ich denke, dass wir diese in den nächsten Wochen erhalten sollten.
Daher steht für uns fest ? Crowflight ist derzeit die billigste Aktie auf dem Markt ? das Risiko ist sehr überschaubar und das Kurspotenzial enorm. Bedenken Sie nur - bereits im ersten vollen Geschäftsjahr wird das Unternehmen mehr Cash Flow produzieren als die ganze Company derzeit an der Börse wert ist. Wir gehen daher davon aus, dass Crowflight der Nickel-?Shootingstar? der nächsten 12 bis 18 Monate sein wird. Wenn der Nickelpreis auf dem jetzigen Niveau stabil bleibt und die letzte Genehmigung erteilt ist, dann muss unweigerlich der Aktienkurs der Crowflight ?explodieren?. Das heißt, dass sogar mehr als 500 bis 1.000 % Kursperformance nicht unrealistisch sind.
der artikel ist schon fast 2 Monate alt, die genemigung müsste also in kürze erfolgen.
ich sehe kurse jenseits der 2 euro.
jetzt einsteigen
Moderation
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Kommentar: falsches Forum
Zeitpunkt: 12.04.07 14:35
Aktion: Forumswechsel
Kommentar: falsches Forum
hier sieht man das Canaccord zu den Käufern gehört, immer wenn das an de TSX-Venture der Fall ist explodieren meist Aktien, cooool.
Ziiiieh Crow!
SUBJECT: on a side note... Posted By: Nosleep
Post Time: 4/13/2007 11:10
« Previous Message Next Message »
we look pretty strong today again. Though volume is still lowish I think the daytraders have moved along for the moment which is fine by me. Holding this level for a few days would be good!
Nosleep
Daily Commentary
Our system posted a BUY CONFIRMED today. The previous SELL recommendation was issued on 04.10.2007 (3) days ago, when the stock price was 1.0400. Since then CML has fallen -3.85% .
BUY-IF is confirmed by a white candlestick which has an open equal to the previous close but closing higher. The buying price is the previous close ( 0.9500 ) according to the Rules of Confirmation.
The recent bullish formation leading to the BUY-IF signal is confirmed today. The market is ready for a new bullish move. Though the market opened lower today, the day’s activity created a white candlestick that closed above the previous close. This is a valid confirmation criterion.
We hope that you acted quickly and already bought this stock . Your important benchmark was the previous close. You were supposed to watch the session carefully, feel its bullish tendency despite the lower opening, and go long after making sure that the prices stay over the previous close.
If you bought, continue to hold this stock until the confirmation of the next SELL-IF signal. You are on safe grounds as long as the future prices continue to trade above the benchmark price. What to do if you did not buy? Maybe, you did not have time to follow the session or you simply delegated the delicate job of confirmation to us. Well, it is a bit late, but not too late. You may still find suitable prices for buying in the following sessions.
The market is currently cold for short-sellers. Avoid any short sales and cover the short positions immediately if there are any.
SmallcapInvestor-Bericht vom 07.02.2007
Wir wollen heute für unser Resources & Energy Musterdepot 15.000 Stück Crowflight zu 0,35 Euro aufnehmen.
Crowflight betreibt mehrere Nickelprojekte in Kanada. Für das Bucko Nickel Projekt wurde gerade eine unabhängige bankfähige Machbarkeitsstudie veröffentlicht. Dabei beträgt der IRR bei einem Nickelpreis von 8 US$ pro Pfund 117 Prozent. Das heißt, die Investition ist in weniger als einem Jahr zurückverdient.
Das Interessante daran ist, dass der Nickelpreis derzeit ja nicht bei 8US$ pro Pfund steht, sondern bei über 17 US$ pro Pfund. Das würde bedeuten, dass die ganze Produktionsanlage in weniger als 6 Monaten zurück verdient ist. Auch der Zeitplan für den Produktionsbeginn ist ordentlich, denn die Company will innerhalb der nächsten 12 bis 15 Monate produzieren. Das heißt, ab spätestens Mitte 2008 ist das Unternehmen in Produktion und bis Ende 2008 sind schon alle Investitionen wieder zurückverdient (wenn der Nickelpreis auf gleichem Niveau bleibt).
Die Company ist derzeit mit rund 100 Mio. CA$ bewertet. Laut Machbarkeitsstudie wird das Unternehmen im ersten vollen Produktionsjahr, also 2009, bei einem Nickelpreis von 12 US$ (derzeit >17 US$) einem Cash Flow von 101 Mio. CA$ erwirtschaften. Das heißt also, selbst wenn der Nickelpreis noch deutlich fällt, würde die Aktie mit einen KCV-Verhältnis von 1 für 2009 bewertet sein. Das ist viel zu wenig, daher erwarte ich in den nächsten 18 bis 24 Monaten mindestens eine Vervierfachung bis Verfünffachung des Aktienkurses.
Fazit: Crowflight ist derzeit wohl der interessanteste Nickelplay, den es gibt. Kaum wo passen die Parameter besser zusammen. Geringes politisches Risiko, da die Mine in Kanada ist, die Produktion soll in rund 15 Monaten beginnen, der IRR liegt bei 117 Prozent (bei 8$/Pfund Nickel), die Finanzierung erfolgt über Fremdkapital, daher wird auch das Kapital nicht verwässert. Der aktuelle Nickelpreis liegt bei über 17 US$, daher kann sich der Nickelpreis halbieren und die Rendite wäre immer noch überdurchschnittlich. Ich rechne mit einem Kurspotenzial in den nächsten 24 Monaten von mindestens 400 bis 500 Prozent.
Auf weitere gute Investments
Ihr
Joachim Brunner
Crowflight Completes Private Placement Financing
CROWFLIGHT MINERALS INC. (Crowflight, the Company) (TSX Venture Exchange: CML) is pleased to announce that it has completed its previously announced bought deal financing (the "Offering") for aggregate gross proceeds of $25.0 million through the issuance of 15,625,000 units (the "Units") priced at $0.80 per Unit and 12,500,000 common shares, which qualify as flow-through shares for the purposes of the Income Tax Act (Canada) (the "Flow- Through Shares") priced at $1.00 per Flow-Through Share, including 3,125,000 Units and 2,500,000 Flow-Through Shares issued pursuant to the exercise of an option granted to the Underwriters (as defined below) to increase the size of the Offering.
Each Unit consisted of one common share (a "Unit Share") in the capital of the Company and one half of one common share purchase warrant (each whole common share purchase warrant, a "Warrant"). Each Warrant entitles the holder thereof to acquire one common share (a "Warrant Share") at a price of $1.15 until April 12, 2008. However, if over a period of 15 consecutive trading days between August 12, 2007 and April 12, 2008, the daily volume weighted average trading price of the common shares on the TSX Venture Exchange, or such other stock exchange where the majority of the trading volume occurs, exceeds $1.50 on each of those 15 consecutive days, the Company may, within 30 days of such an occurrence, give written notice to Orion Securities Inc. and to the holders of the Warrants that the Warrants will expire at 4:00 p.m. (Toronto time) on the 45th day following the giving of notice unless exercised by the holders prior to such date.
The Offering was completed by a syndicate of underwriters led by Orion Securities Inc. and including Canaccord Capital Corporation, Cormark Securities Inc. and Pacific International Securities Inc. (collectively, the "Underwriters"). In connection with the Offering, the Underwriters received a commission equal to 6% of the gross proceeds of the Offering as well as 1,546,875 compensation options (the "Compensation Options"), each of which entitles the Underwriters to purchase one Unit at a price of $0.80 per Unit until April 12, 2008.
The Flow-Through Shares, Unit Shares, Warrants and Compensation Options are subject to a hold period that will expire on August 13, 2007. The Offering remains subject to the final approval of the TSX Venture Exchange.
The gross proceeds from the sale of the Units will be used for exploration and development of the Bucko Nickel project in the Thompson Nickel Belt, Manitoba and for general corporate purposes. The gross proceeds from the sale of the Flow-Through Shares will be used for general exploration expenditures, which will constitute Canadian exploration expenses (as defined in the Income Tax Act (Canada)) and will be renounced for the 2007 taxation year.
Statements in this release that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual developments or results may vary materially from those in these "forward-looking statements".
Crowflight Files Bankable Feasibility Study on SEDAR, Study Discusses Activities to Further Enhance Project Economics
CROWFLIGHT MINERALS INC. (Crowflight, the Company) (TSX Venture Exchange: CML) is pleased to announce that it has filed the completed Bankable Feasibility Study (BFS) report on Sedar (www.sedar.com) which describes the results from the recently announced updated BFS (press release dated March 22, 2007). This study describes the various components of the technical and economic study regarding the development, mining and processing of the Bucko Deposit nickel ore via an underground mine and surface concentrator operation.
Thomas Atkins, President and CEO of Crowflight commented on the filing of the BFS stating: "With the filing of the report it's now available for investor's review. It also advances a significant milestone for the Company in that its completion satisfies the final component that permits the transfer of the Bucko Mining Lease from Xstrata Nickel to Crowflight. We're pleased with the results of the report and particularly excited by the activities underway to further enhance the confidence, performance and economics of the project as we advance towards production."
The study, employed the services of engineering specialists in a number of disciplines and was coordinated by Micon International and included the following firms.
Task
Consultant
§
Study Compilation/Coordination
§
Micon International
Geological Resources
§
P & E Mining Consultants
Metallurgy
§
G & T Metallurgical Services Ltd.
Plant Design and Costing
§
Met Chem Canada Inc.
Geotechnical/Tailings Design
§
Golder Associates Ltd.
Mine Design and Scheduling
§
AST Mining
Mine Costing
§
Dumas Contracting
Environmental/Permitting
Wardrop
§
What is of particular interest in the BFS report is that it describes planning and activities underway to further enhance the confidence, performance and potential economic return from the Deposit, including activities to enhance confidence in an expanded through-put scenario. These activities include:
* Drilling to enhance the confidence in the resources and reserves within the Deposit;
* Nature and distribution of mineralization;
* Definitive mine lay-out;
* Enhanced geotechnical characteristics of the host rock in which development is to take place and of the ore to be mined;
* Improved metallurgical processes and concentrator flow sheet efficiencies;
* Studies to consider the merits and potential of more efficient operating parameters, particularly the application of a paste backfill plant and a ramp from surface to underground ramp system; and
* Expanded through-put and efforts to expand the resources and reserves as extensions to the known Deposit.
The study recommends that these activities continue to be advanced and that results from this work be used to enhance the confidence, performance and potential through-put of the project coincident with project development activities.
Of particular interest is the current work being advanced with respect to: (1) metallurgical process and recoveries; (2) expanded through-put; and (3) opportunities to expand the nickel resources within the Deposit.
Regarding metallurgical improvements, the primary objectives of this work is to:
* Identify any potential mineralogical constraints of the previously developed Bucko Lake concentrator process;
* optimize metallurgical performance at coarser primary grind; and
* optimize reagent dosages in an effort to reduce reagent costs.
At the time of writing of the report only initial test results were available, however these results, indicate the potential to improve nickel recovery, concentrate grade and concentrate quality (further reduction in any possible deleterious elements) and reduce operating costs. More detailed results from this work are expected towards the end of the second quarter 2007.
As regards potential to expand through-put, the Company is evaluating more efficient backfilling and improved access to, and within, the underground workings via a ramp from the top of the currently designed underground workings to surface, in addition to the previously mentioned activities related to the metallurgical process. The objective is that with improvements in grinding, recoveries, backfilling and access, opportunities to expand through-put can be facilitated. Crowflight hopes to have greater certainty as to the cost and timing of these opportunities in the third quarter of this year such that it may consider implementing some of these changes coincident with project construction and development.
Regarding nickel resource expansion potential, Crowflight geologists and the Company's mineral resource consultant believe there is excellent potential to continue to increase nickel resources in the following areas:
* Hinge Zone from surface to 900 m depth.
* Southern extension of the West Limb of the Deposit from the 1000 Level (300 m depth) to the 2000 Level (600 m depth).
* Extensions to the main trend of the Deposit at depth from the 2000 Level (600 m depth) initially down to the 3000 Level (900 m depth).
Upon obtaining underground access in the third quarter of this year, the focus of underground drilling will be to in-fill drill for detailed stope planning purposes for the first 18 months of production. As the underground delineation drilling program is sufficiently advanced (towards the end of 2007), Crowflight intends to direct a portion of its underground drilling efforts towards additional resource delineation drilling from these underground workings further thereby further testing the opportunity to expand the mineral resources of the Deposit in a cost and time efficient manner.
Qualified Person/Quality Control Procedures
This press release has been reviewed by Mr. Paul Keller, P. Eng., Crowflight's Vice President Operations and Mr. Greg Collins, P. Geo., Crowflight's Vice President Exploration, Qualified Persons under the National Instrument 43-101 guidelines. National Instrument 43-101 compliant Indicated Resources have been calculated by Eugene Puritch, P.Eng. and Dr. Wayne Ewert, P. Geo. of P&E Mining Consultants Inc. of Brampton, Ontario.
Crowflight -- The Base Metal Builder
Crowflight Minerals Inc. is a Canadian junior mining exploration and development company listed on the TSX Venture Exchange. The company is focused on nickel, copper and Platinum Group Mineral ("PGM") projects in the Thompson Nickel Belt ("TNB") and Sudbury Basin. The company currently owns and/or has under option approximately 600 square kilometres of exploration and development properties in Manitoba and Ontario.
In Manitoba, these properties include: (1) the Bucko Lake Nickel Deposit; (2) an earn-in option with Xstrata Nickel on five highly prospective properties (Bucko/Bowden, Resting Lake, Rock Island Lake, Halfway Lake and Gonlin Lake) on the TNB South Project located within 30 kilometres of the Bucko Deposit; and (3) six additional properties (Burntwood River, Birchtree South, Birchtree North, Airport, Moak Lake and Strong Lake) located 100 kilometres to the north on the TNB North Project.
In the Sudbury Basin, these properties include: (1) the 100% owned AER Kidd Project adjacent to Inco's Totten Deposit (10.1 million tonnes grading 1.5% nickel, 2.0% copper and 4.8 g/t PGM's); (2) the 100% owned Peter's Roost Property, being explored under a joint venture agreement with Wallbridge Mining Co. Ltd.; and (3) the Airport Property (a 50/50 joint venture with Millstream Mines Ltd.) located 4 kilometres south, and on-strike, with Falconbridge's Nickel Rim South Deposit (13.2 million tonnes grading 1.7% nickel, 3.5% copper and 4.1 g/t PGM's).
Further information regarding Crowflight, including details of its properties, and where relevant its earn-in interests in properties, is available on the Company's web site at www.crowflight.com.
Statements in this release that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Readers are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of future performance and that actual developments or results may vary materially from those in these "forward-looking statements. The Company cautions investors that the projections for increases to the Indicated Resources are based on Inferred Resources. There is no certainty that these projections will be added to the Indicated Resources or that they will be economically viable. viable.