Banken & Finanzen in unserer Weltzone

First Republic stock rout deepens after report on likely FDIC receivership: irst Republic Bank (FRC.N) shares plunged after a CNBC reportthat the lender was likely headed for receivership under the U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), worsening a rout that has wiped out 75% of the stock's value
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/...s-rescue-deal-2023-04-28/  

https://www.isabelnet.com/the-federal-reserve-and-financial-crisis/  

The Discount Window (“Primary Credit”): +$4 billion for the week, to $74 billion
Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP): +$7 billion to $81 billion
https://wolfstreet.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/...indow-v-BTFP.png
https://wolfstreet.com/2023/04/27/...ues-and-liquidity-support-cools/
Blended Money Supply
https://www.isabelnet.com/blended-money-supply/
Probability of US Recession
https://www.isabelnet.com/...cession-calculated-from-the-yield-curve/  

 

 

 

From a painful credit crunch to a meltdown in the commercial real estate market, here's what top economists are predicting for the coming months
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/...te-meltdown-2023-4
Charlie Munger Says U.S. Banks Are Full Of Bad Commercial Property Loans: 'There's A Lot Of Agony Out There'
https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/...t-there-1032276231  

Weltweit gehen in den nächsten vier Jahren 83 Millionen Jobs verloren
 

EUROPÄISCHE ZENTRALBANK
 

EU-Kommission verzichtet vorerst auf Provisionsverbote für Finanzberater

UMSTRITTENER GESETZESVORSCHLAG
 

Finanzministerin: US-Zahlungsausfall könnte bereits am 1. Juni drohen
https://www.ariva.de/news/...lungsausfall-knnte-bereits-am-1-10656748
 

Banks Still Clamor for Cash as Funds Needed to Bolster Liquidity
   FHLB net debt outstanding topped $1.49 trillion in April
   Usage of Fed’s emergency lending facilities also increased
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...eeded-to-bolster-liquidity
 

Blackstone's BREIT Suffers Sixth Consecutive Month Of Withdraws As CRE Deteriorates
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/...month-withdraws-cre-deteriorates  

Australiens Notenbank erhöht Zinsen überraschend – Signal für weitere Straffung
https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/geldpolitik/...ng/29125876.html  

Keine zwingenden Argumente für Erhöhung der Einlagensicherung
 

PacWest Bancorp was down 29%, Western Alliance Bancorp fell 24.6% and Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. dropped by 23.8%.
https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/...ow-futures-fall-70-points
PacWest, Western Alliance shares tumble as regional bank fears persist
https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/...ailure-weighs-2023-05-02/
Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp
https://www.bloomberg.com/press-releases/...nvestors-to-inquire-about
Indexes fall as regional banks tumble, investors worry before Fed. Among bank shares, PacWest Bancorp (PACW.O) tumbled, along with Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL.N) and Comerica Inc (CMA.N).
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/...g-jitters-dent-mood-2023-05-02/
White House banking headache won’t end with First Republic deal
https://edition.cnn.com/2023/05/01/politics/...public-bank/index.html
Metropolitan Commercial Bank crypto exit leads to higher funding costs Withdrawals by exchanges and other clients deflates non-interest-bearing deposit
https://www.risk.net/risk-quantum/7956564/...-to-higher-funding-costs
Metropolitan Commercial Bank to Exit Crypto Intensifying Crisis
https://www.thecoinrepublic.com/2023/04/22/...to-intensifying-crisis/  

US Treasury CDS
https://www.isabelnet.com/...u-s-treasury-credit-default-swap-spread/  

In den USA brechen die nächsten Banken ein.
https://www.berliner-zeitung.de/...ern-alliance-stuerzen-ab-li.344175
Goldman Trading Desk Warns Bank Selling Is Spreading And Could Get Far Worse
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/...preading-and-could-get-far-worse
Erneut massive Flucht aus US-Bank-Aktien
https://www.ariva.de/news/...s-bank-aktien-was-steckt-hinter-10658511
PacWest Leads Fresh Regional Bank Rout: The million-dollar question: Do the traders dumping PacWest know something we don't? Buying PacWest here carries an enormous adverse selection problem, so I wouldn't buy the dip.
https://www.ariva.de/forum/pacwest-bankcorp-582562?page=1#jumppos37
Bloodbath in regional banks
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/...SOWAAM7oxS?format=jpg&name=900x900
Elon Musk: This is a massive problem. Doesn’t make sense to keep money in a <1% interest bank account instead of a 4.5% money market (Treasury Bill) account. As more people & companies realize this, bank depositor flight will accelerate to extreme levels, even for banks that are “too big to fail”.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1653434302300823553  

Investoren suchen die nächsten schwachen Geldhäuser
Nach dem Notverkauf der First Republic an JP Morgan sind die Aktienkurse an der Wall Street erneut eingebrochen. Analysten warnen vor langwierigen Problemen bei kleineren Instituten.
https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/...en-geldhaeuser/29127678.html  

US-Regionalbanken bleiben unter Druck.Sorge um US-Finanzsystem wächst: PacWest und Western Alliance brechen ein.
https://de.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/...rechen-ein-2397544  

https://www.isabelnet.com/...0-e-mini-non-commercial-net-positioning/  

Goldman Sachs: What happens if the U.S. government can’t pay its bills? The debate over the U.S. debt ceiling is quickly heating up. If the debt limit is not lifted before the deadline, what does this mean for markets and the economy? In this episode, Goldman Sachs Research’s Alec Phillips, chief U.S. political economist, explains how a failure to raise the limit on US government debt could ripple through the global financial markets.
https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/podcasts/...-2023-phillips.html  

Markets Expect the Fed to Raise Rates Despite Banking Turmoil. But short sellers, investors who profit off bets that stock prices will fall, have continued to take aim at regional lenders like PacWest, Western Alliance and Zions Bancorp. (Shares in PacWest and Western Alliance are down again in premarket trading.)
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/03/business/...es-regional-banks.html  

Market Was Too Quick to Move On From Widening Bank Turmoil: the smaller regional banks that have a higher CRE exposure, with the median company in the KBW Regional Bank Index having about 27% of its assets related to CRE.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/...quick-move-widening-bank-turmoil  

According to the Post, the total capital buffer in the US banking system totals $2.2 trillion. Meanwhile, total unrealized losses in the system based on a pair of academic papers is between $1.7 and $2 trillion.
https://schiffgold.com/commentaries/the-us-banking-system-is-sound/