TTT-Montag, 17.12.07
Ich glaube heute...kurz unter die 800...so 795...und dann Rebound...
Die Ammi Futures riechen schonwieder so komisch. ;)
By Fergal O'Brien
Dec. 17 (Bloomberg) -- Europe's manufacturing and service industries grew at the slowest pace in more than two years this month because of increases in energy and food prices and borrowing costs.
Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc said today a preliminary estimate of its composite index fell to 53.3 from 54.1 in November. That's the lowest since August 2005 and lagged behind the 53.7 median of 15 forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey. A reading above 50 indicates growth.
Europe's economy is heading for its slowest growth in three years in 2008 due to a near-record level for the euro, a 50 percent increase in crude oil prices, and higher lending costs. While the European Central Bank this month cut its forecast for economic growth next year, it's held off reducing interest rates as the inflation rate reached a six-year high.
``The index is consistent with below-trend growth in the euro zone and this will continue until at least the second quarter 2008,'' Marco Valli, an economist at UniCredit Markets & Investment Banking in Milan, said before the report. ``We see only a gradual recovery after that.''
The manufacturing index declined to 52.5 from 52.8, while a gauge of services dropped to 53.2 from 54.1. The services index was lower than economists had forecast.
Prices Rise
The measure of prices charged in services rose to 54 this month from 53.6 in November, a six-month high. The same measure for manufacturing was the highest since July. Euro-area inflation accelerated to 3.1 percent last month, the highest in more than six years.
Money-market rate have risen worldwide in the last three weeks as $70 billion of writedowns linked to defaults on U.S. subprime mortgages fanned international concern about the strength of financial institutions.
The Dow Jones Stoxx 50 Index slumped 1.7 percent at 9:23 a.m. in London.
While the ECB, along with other central banks in Europe and the U.S. Federal Reserve pledged on Dec. 12 to offer as much as $64 billion to financial institutions in a move aimed at easing the credit squeeze, money market rates have yet to respond.
The rates banks charge each other for three-month loans held at a seven-year high of 4.95 percent on Dec. 14, up from 4.57 percent a month earlier.
`Difficult' Times
Investor confidence in Germany, Europe's largest economy, fell to the lowest level in almost 15 years this month. In France, business sentiment dropped to an 11-month low in November.
Irish Life & Permanent Plc, Ireland's largest life insurer, said last week that operating profit may fall in 2008 if the rise in borrowing costs doesn't abate. In the absence of the credit shortage, operating profit would have grown by ``low double digits'' next year, Chief Executive Officer Denis Casey said.
Fiat SpA chairman Luca Cordero di Montezemolo said on Dec. 6 that market conditions in the next few months will be ``difficult'' for carmakers. The same day, the ECB cut its 2008 growth forecast to about 2 percent from 2.3 percent, according to staff projections.
The central bank dimmed expectations of an interest-rate reduction with a prediction that inflation will accelerate next year to 2.5 percent, up from a previous forecast of 2 percent.
To contact the reporter on this story: Fergal O'Brien in Dublin at fobrien@bloomberg.net .
32. yep , jetzt long ! Reinerzufall 17.12.07 11:05
Bis zum bitteren Ende gehalten, oder noch rausgekommen? *gg*