Local.com aussichtsreich
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Zur Erinnerung: Es stehen zwei Mega-Coupon-IPOs bevor: Groupon und Living Social. Gasgeben in diesem Bereich ist durchaus angebracht.
http://www.screamindailydeals.com/school-fundraising-ideas
"Unique to our model is the connection we make between the buyer and the school or non-profit organization: The You Choose feature. Buyers pick from a huge list of schools or non-profits in their area, and that's where we donate to when they purchase a deal.
...
The concept behind Screamin Daily Deals is not new—collective buyers leveraging massive discounts. We just added our own special flair of the School Rewards program and wrapped it up in a state-of-the-art website."
-> Da denke ich doch an die Flagship-Zielgruppe Soccer Mom.
http://getaways.screamindailydeals.com/coupons/...International-Hotel
-> Da denke ich auch an die Activities-Section mit den Reise-/Ausflugsangeboten (von Vertragspartnern).
http://www.otcequity.com/?p=1098
http://hubpages.com/hub/...sition-Breathe-New-Life-Into-LocalCom-LOCM
"The opportunity Local.com for revenue grow and earnings from the Google deal are tremendous."
"While Local.com already dabbled in the daily deal market on its own website, the acquisition Screamin’ Daily Deals solidifies Local.com’s position as a deal website in competition with Groupon.com. This should raise Local.com stature when the Groupon IPO occurs later in 2011."
"These two deals, announced back to back, are the biggest developments at Local.com in years, and should have a positive impact on company growth in revenues and earnings going forward."
Also wer hier schon drin ist und aussteigen will: jeder muss selber wissen was er tut. ;-)
"What Local.com expects is to leverage its reach of over 20 million consumers each month through its flagship property plus a distribution network of over 1,400 regional media sites. If it can pull this off, Local.com can become a force. We have continually had this company as one emerging web property to watch because it fits right in that sweet spot of targeting the local search for businesses. With the number of companies wanting to target local deals, local traffic, local search, and everything else local, it is Local.com which may be able to bridge that gap. Today’s deal is only one growth opportunity that the company can undertake around the United States."
Der Wechsel zu Google als Ad-Partner und die Übernahme von 'Screamin Daily Deals' halte ich für die wichtigsten Deals der letzten Zeit. Octane, Krillion und Rovion sind interessante Add Ons, mit Spreebird hat man sich eine eigene Daily-Deals Marke und zugehörige Unit aufgebaut. Aber jetzt kommt Schwung und neue Phantasie hinein.
Screamin ist organisatorisch Spreebird ein Jahr voraus, hat bereits signifikante Kunden, Mitarbeiter, Traffic und eine brilliante Idee, sich von Groupon abzugrenzen. Damit holt man sich Zeit zurück, die man mit der relativ späten Gründung von Spreebird verloren hat. Die Fusion von beiden wird noch besser.
Warum es gut ist, sich mit einer ernstzunehmenden Positionierung im Deal-Sektor (gern auch eine Nische) zu beeilen, liegt an den bavorstehenden IPOs der beiden großen. Groupon wurde erst 2008 (!) gegründet. Und jetzt:
http://www.groupon.jp/
http://www.groupon.cn/
http://www.groupon.ru/
A + B = C ?
Vielleicht nicht ganz, zumal der Traffic ja unterschiedlich zustande kommt. Aber man sieht was da noch möglich wäre, wenn man den die Dinge bei Local.com intelligent kombiniert...
Bei Spreebird warteten wir darauf bis jetzt noch vergebens. Höchstwahrscheinlich hat man da noch gebremst, weil man die letzten Wochen mit den Vorbereitungen des Screamin-Deals beschäftigt war.
"Can Local.com (NASDAQ: LOCM) Parlay Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) Deal into Integration on Search Giant’s Social Media Platform Google+?"
http://www.otcequity.com/?p=1098
"Google Deal and New Acquisition Breathe New Life Into Local.Com (LOCM)"
http://hubpages.com/hub/...sition-Breathe-New-Life-Into-LocalCom-LOCM
"Local.com: Competing Against Groupon On The Cheap (LOCM, SPMD)"
http://247wallst.com/2011/07/11/...st-groupon-on-the-cheap-locm-spmd/
Local.com May Talk About Impact of Deals
Local.com will report its fiscal second-quarter results on July 25, 2011, with the average analyst estimate estimating a loss of 12 cents a share and revenues of $17.1 million in quarter that ended on June 30, 2011. The conference call after the second-quarter results should be interesting, as Local.com will likely discuss the future revenue and business impacts of the Google deal and acquisition of Screamin’ Media Group. These two deals, announced back to back, are the biggest developments at Local.com in years, and should have a positive impact on company growth in revenues and earnings going forward.
"LOCM-The Bull Case
12-Jul-11 12:30 pm 2011 Revenue Guidance 84 Million
This figure might be low considering the recent news.
1) Switching to Google will help the revenue per click problems that plagued LOCM since January. Google advertisers pay more per click them Yahoo/Bing. Google is also the #1 player in search with a 65% market share. LOCM's forecast, per their last CC, does not take into account any increase in RPC. A slight increase will be huge for both top and bottom line.
2) SDD purchase will also add to the top line. They did 4.4 million in revenues in the 1st half. If they maintain the same growth rate, you can assume a 2nd half of 7-8 million in top line revenues. This is also not figured into the 84 million forecast.
3) Continued growth in Rovion and Krillion. Rovion was doing 200K per month in revenues when they were purchased.
4) LOCM's social media/buying business is exploding. Will be a huge driver for years to come
5) Part of the SDD purchase was a loan. In order for LOCM to draw off that credit line, they have to be profitable. Unless they changed the agreement, one can assume that LOCM might just well be profitable in the near future
6)iPhone and Droid Apps coming soon!!!
Conclusion: All things considered, it's easy to see where LOCM could do well in excess of the 84 million that is projected and may be profitable by years end.
LONG and STRONG!!!"
Aber trotz allem ist es natürlich eine Projektion.
Wenn die 30 Milarden für Groupon tatsächlich Wirklichkeit werden sollten, lauft das bei ca. 1,5 Milliarden Umsatz in 2011 auf eine Bewertung mit dem 20-fachen Umsatz hinaus. Würde die Spreebird-Unit von Local.com genauso bewertet, müsste sie danach allein schon einen Wert von 300 Millionen haben - das ist fast das Vierfache der gesamten Marktbewerteung von Local.com.