Nächster ZOCK !
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Eröffnet am: | 18.01.08 13:25 | von: Superflach | Anzahl Beiträge: | 127 |
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Es sind immer noch unmengen an Aktien short deshalb wird jeder Rücksetzer zum kaufen genutzt.
Laut Chart ist noch jede Menge Platz nach Norden auch was die Indikatoren angehen.
RSI steht gerade mal bei 39 und der MACD hat gerade erst gedreht.
Die MA50 verläuft bei 23,72 Dollar was als erstes ZIEL genommen werden kann und muß.
Die Märkte haben sich in den USA gut erholt und werden morgen da weitermachen wo Sie heute aufgehört haben.
Also mein erstes kleinstes Ziel für ABK liegt vom jetzigen Kurs nochmals 70% höher als der heutige Schlußkurs in den USA.
MAn wird sehen wo es noch hingeht.
Viel Glück uns mit ABK.
meine nächste frage wäre. was ist der MA50 genau?konnte hierzu keine infos finden.
gruß sosix
Wann kommen eigentlich Zahlen bei ambac ? Dürften ziemlich mieserabel ausfallen,glaub ich ...
MFG
Chali
16,50 Dolalr Eröffnung dann ging es sehr schnell runter auf 11 Dollar und nun steht der Kurs rt bei 13,65 Dollar.
http://datasvr.tradearca.com/arcadataserver/...hp?Symbol=abk&x=15&y=4
Realtimekurse gibs bei meinem Broker leider nur für zahlende Kunden.
Tuesday January 22, 5:52 pm ET
By Jeremy Herron, AP Business Writer
Ambac Posts Large 4th-Quarter Loss but Shares Spike on Potential for Outside Partnerships
NEW YORK (AP) -- Ambac Financial Group Inc. booked a massive loss Tuesday as mortgage-related troubles spread, but the bond insurer assured investors it remains a viable company even as its business slows.
We just got too complex," Michael Callen, interim chief executive, said of his company's foray into bonds backed by risky mortgages. The fallout from that bet led to a $3.26 billion fourth-quarter loss.
The executive said Ambac is "evaluating strategic alternatives with a number of potential partners," as it seeks to maintain its "AAA" credit rating with two agencies and regain it after being downgraded by a third.
"We're talking to very credible parties and pools of capital," Callen said, but declined to be more specific.
Investors responded positively, sending Ambac shares surging $1.77, or 28.6 percent, to $7.97 Tuesday. The stock is still down 92 percent from its 12-month high of $96.10 set last May, after losing more than 70 percent last week.
"Callen is very much putting on an outward face that Ambac is in it for the long haul," said Donald Light, senior analyst at Celent. "Their actual situation is not noticeably worse than other major bond insurers, but that doesn't mean it's a good one."
For years the New York firm made a tidy living backing billions in municipal bonds that rarely defaulted, paying a steady dividend. The returns weren't spectacular, but there was little risk to the business.
When the housing market took off, and lenders starting issuing riskier mortgages, investment banks packaged them into complex bonds. For insurers such as Ambac and competitor MBIA Inc., the new bonds were an opportunity to generate outsize returns of their own.
But when the housing bubble burst and mortgage defaults spiked, the assets underlying the bonds lost value, increasing the likelihood of issuer default and claims on bond insurance.
Those concerns have brought the once rock-solid bond insurers to their collective knees. MBIA was forced last week to raise $1 billion to avoid a debilitating ratings downgrade.
Ambac wasn't so lucky -- it balked at shoring up its reserves, saying market rates were too unfavorable, and was promptly hit with a two-notch downgrade by Fitch Ratings to "AA."
The agencies want the insurers to have reserves sufficient to cover the expected increase in claims.
Ambac, which insures $550 billion in debt, said Tuesday it could pay $14.5 billion in claims, noting that it paid none on mortgage-backed bonds in 2007 and that the outlook for the current year is favorable.
"We don't expect more than $10 million" in claims in 2008, Chief Financial Officer Sean Leonard said on a conference call.
But the loss of the top-notch "AAA" rating could strip the insurer of its ability to drum up new business, particularly with municipalities. They need bond insurers to have that rating because it enables them to pay lower interest rates on bonds they issue.
Ambac's business slowed sharply in the fourth quarter, with net premiums written dropping 78 percent. Callen said he thinks Ambac can continue to write new insurance and that he is confident the company can strengthen its capital position to regain the "AAA" rating from Fitch.
Callen, who took over as interim CEO last week after the abrupt departure of Robert Genader, said his company was being "actively regulated" as it tries to recover the "AAA" rating. On Tuesday, the New York State Insurance Department said it was working with the bond insurance market to ensure the stability and availability of that insurance.
If Ambac isn't able to write new insurance, it will still generate premium revenue and be able to pay claims, a situation known as being in a state of "run-off," where an insurer slowly winds down its business. But Callen told investors Ambac had "banished" the word "run-off" from its offices.
Ambac's fourth-quarter loss included a write-down of $5.21 billion, or $33.14 per share, on the book value of certain financial instruments, called credit derivatives. These contracts help insure bond buyers against losses if the bond issuer defaults or the assets underlying the bond lose value.
That total included a charge of $1.11 billion, or $7.03 per share, that the company set aside because it expects to have to pay claims on defaults related to securities backed by risky subprime mortgages.
The company's operating loss reached $6.21 per share versus a profit of $1.88 per share last year. Analysts expected that result to be a loss of $3.50 per share, according to Thomson Financial.
Chalifmann
gestern stieg sie ja nachbörslich wieder auf 13$.
Und das kommt nicht von ungefähr,
es verdichten sich Gerüchte um eine Übernahme durch den
Milliardär Wilbur Ross.
Dieser Deal sollte in den nächsten zwei Wochen über die
Bühne gehen.
Also meiner Meinung nach immer noch ein klarer Kauf bei
den Voraussetzungen.
Was gibt es besseres als evtl. Gerüchte um eine Übernahme
und die Fantasie der potentiellen Anleger.
Das werden bestimmt ereignisreiche Tage ;-)
Auf das es weiter hochgeht,
allen Investierten viel Glück ;-)
Die Gerüchte in Hinblick auf eine Übernahme durch den Milliardär Ross sollten den Kurs nochmal stark nach oben treiben.
Sehr riskante Wette!!
mal sehen ob es nachher evtl. noch ein bisschen höher geht ;-)
dem rest von euch viel glück!
denke aber das es gleich noch etwas runtergeht bis zur
Eröffnung.
Und wer weiss was dann kommt,
ich bin verhalten optimistisch.
bin schon am grübeln ob ich da wieder einsteig.gab`s da irgendwelche news?
Kann natürlich sein das durch die Übernahme von yahoo
durch microsoft den Wert nach oben gehen lässt.
Mal sehen wie es losgeht, solltest du noch einsteigen dann
würde ich auf einen kleinen Rücksetzer warten,
der kommt heute garantiert noch.
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Reuters
Eight banks join to rescue MBIA, Ambac, others: CNBC
Friday February 1, 9:34 am ET
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Eight large banks have joined forces to seek a rescue plan for MBIA Inc (NYSE:MBI - News), Ambac Financial Group Inc (NYSE:ABK - News) and other troubled bond insurers battered by the global credit crunch, CNBC television said on Friday, citing an unnamed source.
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Shares of MBIA rose $1.70, or 11 percent, to $17.20 in trading before the market opened. Ambac rose $1.78, or 15.2 percent, to $13.50. The cost of protecting MBIA and Ambac debt against default fell, indicating that investors see less risk.
The $2.5 trillion bond insurance industry is struggling with mounting losses and capital shortfalls, jeopardizing the "triple-A" credit ratings that insurers such as MBIA and Ambac have long held and depended on to function normally.
CNBC said the banks include Barclays Plc (LSE:BARC.L - News), BNP Paribas (Paris:BNPP.PA - News), Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C - News), Allianz's (XETRA:ALVG.DE - News) Dresdner Bank, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (LSE:RBS.L - News), Societe Generale (Paris:SOGN.PA - News), UBS AG (VTX:UBSN.VX - News) and Wachovia Corp